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    Home » Weak US Jobs Data Sparks Rally in Gold Prices and Alters Rate Expectations
    Business

    Weak US Jobs Data Sparks Rally in Gold Prices and Alters Rate Expectations

    October 5, 2026
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    NEW YORK / RankWire.AI / – Gold prices increased on Monday as traders reacted to softer U.S. employment figures and a strengthening dollar. The spot gold price rose by 0.6% to $4,165.49 per ounce at 0901 GMT. Meanwhile, U.S. gold futures for December delivery went up 0.8% to $4,194.60. This rise built upon an early-session increase seen in Asian markets. Despite volatility in precious metals and global bond markets, bullion prices stayed above the $4,100 mark.

    Gold prices rise as weak US jobs data shifts rate outlook
    Gold holds above $4,100 while markets reassess US interest-rate expectations.

    The key focus for the trading session was the U.S. labor market data. In September, nonfarm payrolls grew by 29,000, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2%. This report came after a period characterized by high interest rates and ongoing inflation pressures. Gold prices tend to be sensitive to shifts in rate expectations since bullion does not generate interest, unlike bonds and other assets that offer yields.

    In September, the Federal Reserve increased its benchmark target range by 25 basis points. This move brought the federal funds rate to a range of 3.75% to 4.00%. It marked the central bank’s first rate hike in three years. After the employment data was released on Friday, market expectations for an additional rate increase in October decreased sharply. The Fed has stated that its policy decisions are data-dependent as it aims to bring inflation down to its 2% target.

    Dollar’s Strength Capping Gold Market Gains

    The U.S. dollar index increased by 0.22% on Monday, which limited gold’s upward movement. A stronger dollar makes dollar-denominated metals more expensive for investors using other currencies. Treasury yields also stayed high after recent declines in government bonds. These factors kept market attention on the balance between softer employment growth and still-elevated borrowing costs. Gold maintained support above recent lows, even as the currency markets favored the dollar.

    U.S. government debt surpassed $40 trillion last month, continuing to influence the broader market environment. Despite high bond yields, gold has maintained its trading level above $4,000. Central banks continue to hold substantial gold reserves as part of their portfolios. During a gathering of the London bullion industry on Monday, officials from major European central banks described gold as an essential reserve and diversification asset amid periods of financial and geopolitical uncertainty.

    Silver, Platinum, and Palladium Also End Higher

    Other precious metals also experienced notable gains on Monday. Spot silver increased by 2.2% to $61.7252 an ounce. Platinum gained 2.1%, reaching $1,733.50, while palladium rose 1.3% to $1,182.50. These movements brought the wider precious metals complex into positive territory alongside gold. Their prices remain influenced by the same factors—interest rates, currency fluctuations, and global risk sentiment—that have driven trading in recent weeks.

    Oil prices declined on Monday as more supplies entered the market. Increased crude exports from the Middle East and releases from G7 stockpiles boosted available supply. The resulting lower oil prices helped reduce immediate inflationary pressures in commodity markets. Nonetheless, gold held onto its gains as investors evaluated the latest U.S. labor figures, the dollar’s strength, and Federal Reserve rate prospects. The metal remained higher during the European morning after starting the week with modest gains.

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